engine+api: plumb life events into the simulator
Some checks failed
ci/woodpecker/push/woodpecker Pipeline was canceled
Some checks failed
ci/woodpecker/push/woodpecker Pipeline was canceled
Until now life events were stored but ignored by the engine — pure metadata. Now they actually move portfolios. Engine: - simulator.simulate() takes optional cashflow_adjustments: a (n_years,) real-GBP array applied each year *after* savings + return but *before* withdrawal. Positive = inflow, negative = outflow. - New fire_planner/life_events.py with EventInput dataclass + events_to_cashflow_array(events, horizon). Handles ranged deltas, one-time amounts, disabled events, year clipping past horizon, negative year_start (clipped to 0), and summing multiple events. API: - /simulate accepts optional life_events list. Server converts each to EventInput, builds cashflow_adjustments, passes to simulate(). - Frontend Run-now on scenario detail now fetches the scenario's life events and includes them in the request — projections finally reflect "retire at 50, kid born at y3, inheritance at y22". Tests: 11 events helper + 4 end-to-end engine + 1 API integration = 16 new tests. 188 total (was 172). mypy strict + ruff clean. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
parent
b82770b5c4
commit
2fc92c12f5
9 changed files with 335 additions and 4 deletions
73
tests/test_simulator_events.py
Normal file
73
tests/test_simulator_events.py
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,73 @@
|
|||
"""End-to-end: cashflow_adjustments make portfolios bigger or smaller."""
|
||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
||||
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
|
||||
from fire_planner.glide_path import static
|
||||
from fire_planner.life_events import EventInput, events_to_cashflow_array
|
||||
from fire_planner.simulator import simulate
|
||||
from fire_planner.strategies.trinity import TrinityStrategy
|
||||
from fire_planner.tax.malaysia import MalaysiaTaxRegime
|
||||
from tests.test_simulator import fixed_paths
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def _baseline_kwargs() -> dict[str, object]:
|
||||
"""0% real returns, 25y, Trinity 4%, no taxes (Malaysia) — predictable."""
|
||||
paths = fixed_paths(n_paths=1, n_years=25, stock_ret=0.0, bond_ret=0.0, cpi=0.0)
|
||||
return dict(
|
||||
paths=paths,
|
||||
initial_portfolio=1_000_000.0,
|
||||
spending_target=40_000.0,
|
||||
glide=static(0.6),
|
||||
strategy=TrinityStrategy(initial_rate=0.04),
|
||||
regime=MalaysiaTaxRegime(),
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_no_adjustments_matches_baseline() -> None:
|
||||
base = simulate(**_baseline_kwargs()) # type: ignore[arg-type]
|
||||
with_zero = simulate(**_baseline_kwargs(), cashflow_adjustments=np.zeros(25)) # type: ignore[arg-type]
|
||||
np.testing.assert_allclose(base.portfolio_real, with_zero.portfolio_real)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_one_time_inheritance_lifts_portfolio() -> None:
|
||||
kwargs = _baseline_kwargs()
|
||||
adj = events_to_cashflow_array(
|
||||
[EventInput(year_start=10, one_time_amount_gbp=250_000)],
|
||||
horizon_years=25,
|
||||
)
|
||||
base = simulate(**kwargs) # type: ignore[arg-type]
|
||||
enhanced = simulate(**kwargs, cashflow_adjustments=adj) # type: ignore[arg-type]
|
||||
# Year 11 onward should be exactly £250k higher under 0% returns +
|
||||
# constant Trinity withdrawal.
|
||||
delta = enhanced.portfolio_real[0, 11:] - base.portfolio_real[0, 11:]
|
||||
assert np.all(delta > 0)
|
||||
# Year 11 specifically: +£250k landed at end of year 10, withdrawn
|
||||
# nothing extra in y10. By y11 just propagated forward.
|
||||
assert enhanced.portfolio_real[0, 11] - base.portfolio_real[0, 11] == 250_000
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_ongoing_expense_drains_portfolio() -> None:
|
||||
kwargs = _baseline_kwargs()
|
||||
adj = events_to_cashflow_array(
|
||||
[EventInput(year_start=0, year_end=5, delta_gbp_per_year=-20_000)],
|
||||
horizon_years=25,
|
||||
)
|
||||
base = simulate(**kwargs) # type: ignore[arg-type]
|
||||
drained = simulate(**kwargs, cashflow_adjustments=adj) # type: ignore[arg-type]
|
||||
# 6 years × £20k expense = £120k less by end of year 6, 0% growth.
|
||||
delta = base.portfolio_real[0, 6] - drained.portfolio_real[0, 6]
|
||||
assert delta == 120_000
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def test_event_can_force_failure() -> None:
|
||||
"""A massive expense early on can ruin an otherwise-successful run."""
|
||||
kwargs = _baseline_kwargs()
|
||||
adj = events_to_cashflow_array(
|
||||
[EventInput(year_start=2, one_time_amount_gbp=-1_500_000)],
|
||||
horizon_years=25,
|
||||
)
|
||||
base = simulate(**kwargs) # type: ignore[arg-type]
|
||||
ruined = simulate(**kwargs, cashflow_adjustments=adj) # type: ignore[arg-type]
|
||||
assert base.success_rate == 1.0
|
||||
assert ruined.success_rate == 0.0
|
||||
Loading…
Add table
Add a link
Reference in a new issue