fire-planner/fire_planner/db.py
Viktor Barzin 64eb90c3dc
Some checks failed
ci/woodpecker/push/woodpecker Pipeline failed
fire-planner: Wave 2 chart-first — flex spending, categorised life
events, interactive Visx Gantt + spending-profile chart

Charts are now the primary editor for life events. The Plan-tab body
re-orders to make charts ~80% of viewport real-estate; legacy form
sections are collapsed into a drawer.

Backend:
- alembic 0004: life_event.category enum (essential / discretionary /
  not_spending). Defaults to essential so existing rows keep their
  full spending impact.
- Simulator gains discretionary_outflows + flex_rules params. Tracks
  per-path running ATH, applies the deepest applicable cut to
  discretionary outflows when portfolio drops vs ATH (PLab-style flex
  spending). Cut amount stays in the portfolio (refund pattern).
- New flex_spending module with FlexRule + applicable_cut +
  cuts_per_year (vectorised). Sortable rules; "deepest cut wins" so
  users specify cumulative cuts at each tier.
- New /scenarios/{id}/spending-profile endpoint returning per-year
  base / essential / discretionary / flex_cut / total breakdown.
- SimulateRequest gains flex_rules + life_event.category roundtrip.
- 8 new tests; 246 total pytest pass; mypy + ruff clean.

Frontend (Visx + ECharts):
- Installed @visx/{scale,shape,group,axis,event,responsive,tooltip}
  for native SVG drag interactions.
- New <SpendingProfileChart> — Visx stacked-area of base/essential/
  discretionary with red flex-cut overlay, hover tooltip, click-to-
  scrub-year.
- New <EventGantt> — interactive Visx Gantt:
    * Click empty space → popover create at that year (default
      essential spending event)
    * Click a bar → inline edit popover (name, kind, range, £/y,
      category) with delete button
    * Drag bar middle → moves the whole event (year-resolution snap)
    * Drag bar edges → resizes year_start / year_end
    * All gestures persist via PATCH /life-events/{id}
- New <FlexRulesEditor> — list of {from_ath_pct, cut} tiers, save-on-
  change to scenario.config_json.flex_rules.
- Plan-tab redesign: NW fan dominant top with floating stat badges
  (Year/Age/NW/Δ NW/Spending/Eff. tax) over the chart; spending-
  profile chart middle; Gantt bottom; flex-rules editor; legacy form
  sections in a collapsed <details> drawer.
- Frontend typecheck + 7 vitest tests + production build all clean.
2026-05-10 16:49:04 +00:00

287 lines
16 KiB
Python
Raw Blame History

This file contains ambiguous Unicode characters

This file contains Unicode characters that might be confused with other characters. If you think that this is intentional, you can safely ignore this warning. Use the Escape button to reveal them.

import os
from datetime import date, datetime
from decimal import Decimal
from typing import Any
from sqlalchemy import JSON, TIMESTAMP, Boolean, Date, Integer, Numeric, String, func, text
from sqlalchemy.dialects.postgresql import JSONB
from sqlalchemy.ext.asyncio import AsyncEngine, async_sessionmaker, create_async_engine
from sqlalchemy.orm import DeclarativeBase, Mapped, mapped_column
SCHEMA_NAME = "fire_planner"
class Base(DeclarativeBase):
pass
# JSONB on Postgres, plain JSON on SQLite — tests use SQLite, prod uses Postgres.
JSON_TYPE = JSONB().with_variant(JSON(), "sqlite")
class AccountSnapshot(Base):
"""Daily NW per account from Wealthfolio (filled by ingest).
`external_id` is `wealthfolio:{account_id}:{date}` so re-runs on the same
day are idempotent — Wealthfolio keeps one snapshot per account per day.
"""
__tablename__ = "account_snapshot"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
external_id: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String, unique=True, nullable=False)
snapshot_date: Mapped[date] = mapped_column(Date, nullable=False, index=True)
account_id: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String, nullable=False, index=True)
account_name: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String, nullable=False)
account_type: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String, nullable=False)
currency: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(3), nullable=False, server_default="GBP")
market_value: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(14, 2), nullable=False)
market_value_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(14, 2), nullable=False)
cost_basis_gbp: Mapped[Decimal | None] = mapped_column(Numeric(14, 2), nullable=True)
raw_extraction: Mapped[dict[str, Any] | None] = mapped_column(JSON_TYPE, nullable=True)
created_at: Mapped[datetime] = mapped_column(TIMESTAMP(timezone=True),
nullable=False,
server_default=func.now())
class Scenario(Base):
"""A simulation scenario.
Two kinds:
- `kind='cartesian'` — auto-generated from `scenarios.py` Cartesian
product; rebuilt every recompute, upserted on `external_id`.
- `kind='user'` — user-defined (named, optionally cloned from a base);
survives recomputes; `parent_scenario_id` points at the source if any.
"""
__tablename__ = "scenario"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
external_id: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String, unique=True, nullable=False)
kind: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(16),
nullable=False,
server_default=text("'cartesian'"))
name: Mapped[str | None] = mapped_column(String, nullable=True)
description: Mapped[str | None] = mapped_column(String, nullable=True)
parent_scenario_id: Mapped[int | None] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=True)
jurisdiction: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False, index=True)
strategy: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False, index=True)
leave_uk_year: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
glide_path: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False)
spending_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2), nullable=False)
horizon_years: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False, server_default=text("60"))
nw_seed_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(14, 2), nullable=False)
savings_per_year_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2),
nullable=False,
server_default=text("0"))
config_json: Mapped[dict[str, Any]] = mapped_column(JSON_TYPE, nullable=False)
created_at: Mapped[datetime] = mapped_column(TIMESTAMP(timezone=True),
nullable=False,
server_default=func.now())
class McRun(Base):
"""One MC execution per (scenario, run_at). Stores execution metadata +
summary statistics — enough to populate a Grafana cell without touching
the per-path tables."""
__tablename__ = "mc_run"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
scenario_id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False, index=True)
run_at: Mapped[datetime] = mapped_column(TIMESTAMP(timezone=True),
nullable=False,
server_default=func.now())
n_paths: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
seed: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
success_rate: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(6, 4), nullable=False)
p10_ending_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p50_ending_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p90_ending_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
median_lifetime_tax_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(14, 2), nullable=False)
median_years_to_ruin: Mapped[Decimal | None] = mapped_column(Numeric(6, 2), nullable=True)
elapsed_seconds: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(8, 3), nullable=False)
sequence_risk_correlation: Mapped[Decimal | None] = mapped_column(Numeric(6, 4), nullable=True)
extra: Mapped[dict[str, Any] | None] = mapped_column(JSON_TYPE, nullable=True)
class McPath(Base):
"""Sparse per-path storage: top decile, bottom decile, and median paths
fully stored — enough for a fan chart, not 10k×60 ≈ 600k rows."""
__tablename__ = "mc_path"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
mc_run_id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False, index=True)
path_idx: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
bucket: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(16), nullable=False)
year_idx: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
portfolio_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
withdrawal_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2), nullable=False)
tax_paid_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2), nullable=False)
real_portfolio_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
class ProjectionYearly(Base):
"""Deterministic point projection per scenario — per-year point estimates
that drive fan charts and the per-year Grafana table. One row per
(scenario, year)."""
__tablename__ = "projection_yearly"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
mc_run_id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False, index=True)
year_idx: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
p10_portfolio_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p25_portfolio_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p50_portfolio_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p75_portfolio_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p90_portfolio_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p50_withdrawal_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2), nullable=False)
p50_tax_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2), nullable=False)
survival_rate: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(6, 4), nullable=False)
class ScenarioSummary(Base):
"""Denormalised fast-read for Grafana — one row per (scenario, latest run)."""
__tablename__ = "scenario_summary"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
scenario_id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, unique=True, nullable=False)
mc_run_id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
jurisdiction: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False, index=True)
strategy: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False, index=True)
leave_uk_year: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
glide_path: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False)
spending_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2), nullable=False)
success_rate: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(6, 4), nullable=False)
p10_ending_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p50_ending_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
p90_ending_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=False)
median_lifetime_tax_gbp: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(14, 2), nullable=False)
median_years_to_ruin: Mapped[Decimal | None] = mapped_column(Numeric(6, 2), nullable=True)
updated_at: Mapped[datetime] = mapped_column(TIMESTAMP(timezone=True),
nullable=False,
server_default=func.now())
class LifeEvent(Base):
"""A timed event in a user's plan: retirement, kid born, mortgage payoff,
sabbatical, etc. Attached to a scenario.
`year_start` and `year_end` are offsets from the scenario start year
(year 0 = today). For one-time events, leave `year_end` = `year_start`.
`delta_gbp_per_year` is the annual cashflow change while the event is
active (negative = expense, positive = income; 0 for events that just
mark a milestone like "retire").
Free-form `payload` carries event-kind-specific config that the
simulator hasn't yet learned to consume — graceful forward-compat.
"""
__tablename__ = "life_event"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
scenario_id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False, index=True)
kind: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False)
name: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String, nullable=False)
year_start: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False)
year_end: Mapped[int | None] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=True)
delta_gbp_per_year: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2),
nullable=False,
server_default=text("0"))
one_time_amount_gbp: Mapped[Decimal | None] = mapped_column(Numeric(14, 2), nullable=True)
# Spending category for flex-spending classification:
# essential — never trimmed by flex rules (mortgage, food, kids)
# discretionary — trimmed when portfolio drops vs ATH (travel, dining)
# not_spending — informational only (a milestone marker that doesn't
# change cashflow, e.g. a kid graduating)
# Default is `essential` so existing rows keep their full spending impact.
category: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(16),
nullable=False,
server_default=text("'essential'"))
enabled: Mapped[bool] = mapped_column(Boolean, nullable=False, server_default=text("true"))
payload: Mapped[dict[str, Any] | None] = mapped_column(JSON_TYPE, nullable=True)
created_at: Mapped[datetime] = mapped_column(TIMESTAMP(timezone=True),
nullable=False,
server_default=func.now())
class IncomeStream(Base):
"""A typed, recurring source of income — first-class income object.
Modelled as a per-scenario row so a user can stack salary, dividends,
rental, pensions, RSUs, etc. The simulator routes the after-tax
amount through the jurisdiction's tax engine using `tax_treatment`
as the bucket hint (income / dividend / cgt / tax_free).
`start_year` / `end_year` are offsets from the scenario start year.
`growth_pct` is real growth; the simulator applies it geometrically.
"""
__tablename__ = "income_stream"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
scenario_id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False, index=True)
kind: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False)
name: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String, nullable=False)
start_year: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False, server_default=text("0"))
end_year: Mapped[int | None] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=True)
amount_gbp_per_year: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(12, 2),
nullable=False,
server_default=text("0"))
growth_pct: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(6, 4),
nullable=False,
server_default=text("0"))
tax_treatment: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(16),
nullable=False,
server_default=text("'income'"))
enabled: Mapped[bool] = mapped_column(Boolean, nullable=False, server_default=text("true"))
payload: Mapped[dict[str, Any] | None] = mapped_column(JSON_TYPE, nullable=True)
created_at: Mapped[datetime] = mapped_column(TIMESTAMP(timezone=True),
nullable=False,
server_default=func.now())
class RetirementGoal(Base):
"""A user-defined success criterion for a scenario.
Examples:
- target_nw: "have ≥£2M real GBP at year 25" → kind=target_nw,
target_amount_gbp=2_000_000, target_year=25, comparator='>='
- never_run_out: "never run out before age 95" → kind=never_run_out,
target_year=65 (years from start), no amount
- inheritance: "leave ≥£500k to heirs" → kind=inheritance,
target_amount_gbp=500_000, target_year=horizon, comparator='>='
`success_threshold` is the probability bar that counts as "passing"
(e.g. 0.95 = 95% of MC paths must satisfy the comparator).
"""
__tablename__ = "retirement_goal"
__table_args__ = {"schema": SCHEMA_NAME} # noqa: RUF012
id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, primary_key=True, autoincrement=True)
scenario_id: Mapped[int] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=False, index=True)
kind: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(32), nullable=False)
name: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String, nullable=False)
target_amount_gbp: Mapped[Decimal | None] = mapped_column(Numeric(16, 2), nullable=True)
target_year: Mapped[int | None] = mapped_column(Integer, nullable=True)
comparator: Mapped[str] = mapped_column(String(4), nullable=False, server_default=text("'>='"))
success_threshold: Mapped[Decimal] = mapped_column(Numeric(4, 3),
nullable=False,
server_default=text("0.95"))
enabled: Mapped[bool] = mapped_column(Boolean, nullable=False, server_default=text("true"))
payload: Mapped[dict[str, Any] | None] = mapped_column(JSON_TYPE, nullable=True)
created_at: Mapped[datetime] = mapped_column(TIMESTAMP(timezone=True),
nullable=False,
server_default=func.now())
def create_engine_from_env() -> AsyncEngine:
url = os.environ["DB_CONNECTION_STRING"]
return create_async_engine(url, pool_pre_ping=True)
def make_session_factory(engine: AsyncEngine) -> async_sessionmaker[Any]:
return async_sessionmaker(engine, expire_on_commit=False)